proben: (Default)
proben ([personal profile] proben) wrote in [personal profile] gatta_bianka 2021-11-15 12:36 am (UTC)

Выступлю адвокатом дьявола, так как я сам долго кивал на эти графики пока не началась новая волна. Основная возможная причина такой разницы для Украины состоит в драматическом уровне недотестированнасти.
Вот на этой карте https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/positive-rate-daily-smoothed?country=~UKR показан процент положительных тестов по странам. Больше 30% только у двух стран - Украины (38,5%) и Словении (40,6%).

Because limited testing makes it likely that many cases will be missed, the positive rate can also help our understanding of the spread of the virus. In countries with a high positive rate, the number of confirmed cases is likely to represent only a small fraction of the true number of infections. And where the positive rate is rising in a country, this can suggest the virus is actually spreading faster than the growth seen in confirmed cases.

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